Post-Brexit export markets may offer bad debt risk for UK firms

22nd February 2018

Trade credit insurance specialist Euler Hermes has warned that future export market may prove to be a bad debt risk after Brexit.

The findings come from Euler Hermes annual Collection Complexity Scores and Rating report, which measures the challenges of international debt collection procedures in 50 of the largest economies involved in global trade.

The report is designed to provide a simple assessment of debt collection proceedings in each country, helping businesses to make decisions and manage expectations on international trade. It covers economies involved in 90 percent of global GDP and 85 percent of world trade and rates collection procedures within each country from 0 (least complex) to 100 (most complex).

As the UK looks to establish new trade agreements with markets beyond Europe after Brexit, the global trade credit insurer is highlighting the difficulties companies could face in managing local payments practice and recovering bad debts.

Western European countries made up 14 of the top 16 countries in the rankings with the most straightforward collections processes. But many of the markets the UK government is targeting for post-Brexit trade deals have been identified as having ‘severe’ or ‘very high’ complexity in recovering debts. These include Saudi Arabia (1st), United Arab Emirates (2nd), Malaysia (3rd), China (4th), the USA (18th) and Australia (20th).

Sweden, Germany (joint 50th) and Ireland (48th) were found to have the simplest systems in place (50th), while the UK was ranked joint (37th) with Denmark, and rated as having only ‘notable’ collection complexity.’

Milo Bogaerts, chief executive of Euler Hermes UK and Ireland, said: “Business should not be afraid to explore new markets and opportunities that they need to remember two things that may impact their cash flow and profitability.

“First, global payment culture is a high stakes game and varies widely between markets. The average global Days Sales Outstanding was 64 days in 2017, but companies had to wait up to a nine-year high average of 89 days to get paid by customers in China in 2016 compared to 53 days in Germany and the UK, for example.”

“Second, as our research shows, after waiting for payment to try and then pursue outstanding invoices or bad debts can be complex and time-consuming in some markets with a poor chance of recovery without expert help.”

The report shows that Middle Eastern and Asian markets are hampered by the low probability to recover debt in practice, even when legal proceedings have ruled in a business’ favour. Court proceedings in the region were also held back by a lack of flexibility in enforcing foreign legal decisions.

In the USA and Canada, the court systems are complicated by a county, state and federal structure in and where no simplified ‘fast-track’ court proceedings are available to settle simple claims. This suggests expected while enforcement may be difficult and the bankruptcy system remains pro-debtor.

Key findings in the report suggest that:

  • Saudi Arabia, UAE, Malaysia and China the most complex countries for debt collection
  • USA and Australia are the most complex developed economies to collect bad debts
  • Western Europe leads with Sweden, Germany and Ireland the least complex countries
  • China ranks amongst the hardest of countries for businesses to recover bad debts