78% rise in businesses facing critical financial distress

Latest Red Flag Alert data has revealed a 78% year-on-year increase in ‘critical’ financial distress as higher taxes on businesses, economic uncertainty and inflation weighed on the UK economy.

As of 30th September 2025, 55,530 companies were in ‘critical’ financial distress, a 12.6% rise on the previous quarter (Q2 2025: 49,309). Notably, this rise in ‘critical’ distress was widespread, with 21 of the 22 sectors monitored by Red Flag Alert reporting a considerable deterioration in their financial health compared with the same period last year.

The data paints a particularly difficult picture for consumer-facing industries, which continue to bear the brunt of the ongoing economic uncertainty. Leisure & Cultural Activities (+96.7%), Hotels & Accommodation (+92.5%), and General Retailers (+85.6%) saw some of the steepest increases in ‘critical’ distress over the last 12 months, reflecting subdued discretionary spending and the impact of sustained cost pressures.

Meanwhile, the number of businesses in ‘significant’ financial distress also continued to climb in 18 out of 22 sectors analysed, rising 14.8% year-on-year to 726,594 firms (Q3 2024: 632,756), following a 9.0% increase from 666,876 in Q2 2025. The picture in Hotels & Accommodation (+24.3%), Travel & Tourism (+14.2%), and Food & Beverages (+12.9%) is of particular concern.

Julie Palmer, Partner at Begbies Traynor, said “The steep increase in businesses in ‘critical’ financial distress shows the UK economy is in real trouble. With over 55,000 companies now in serious financial distress, the upcoming Budget must deliver urgent support to avoid a wave of failures, especially among SMEs already operating on a knife edge.

“Unfortunately for UK businesses, inflation is going nowhere, putting further pressure on companies at a time when wage, tax, and financing costs are already high. Many firms have no room to manoeuvre, and instead of investing for growth, are scaling back just to survive – the opposite of what the economy needs, if it’s going to recover and grow.

“The Government must get the Budget in November right, but the Chancellor faces a delicate balancing act between delivering ‘business friendly’ measures while balancing the books. There has been a lot of temperature testing in the run up to November, but it is critical that the final measures are decisively pro-business.

 “We are entering a critical phase. Consumer-facing sectors like retail, hospitality and leisure are already in deep distress and have little capacity to absorb further shocks or pressures on consumers, while many other industries are also treading water. Without meaningful support, we can expect more restructuring, rising insolvencies and a continued loss of economic confidence well into 2026.”

Ric Traynor, Executive Chairman of Begbies Traynor, said “The sharp rise in critical financial distress in nearly every sector is particularly concerning. Over the last 12 months, we have seen a noticeable surge in the number of companies in serious financial trouble and there appears to be little light at the end of the tunnel.

“Many UK businesses are having to deal with a number of intense pressures, including rising geo-political uncertainty, tariffs, and the deteriorating economic situation in the UK, which is suffering from stubbornly high inflation, high taxation and high borrowing costs. With confidence and investment both subdued, the challenges for businesses remain substantial.

“Rising insolvencies, weak productivity and growing unemployment all point to a wider slowdown that is now becoming evident in almost every sector. With public finances stretched and Government borrowing running above forecast, the Chancellor faces very difficult decisions ahead of the Autumn Budget.

“Any measures that shift more of the burden onto businesses will only deepen the uncertainty facing them as they look ahead to 2026. Additionally, with consumer confidence so volatile, anything that increases the tax burden on individuals is likely to have a disastrous effect on consumer-facing industries like hospitality.

“Reducing inflation is proving to be challenging and it remains high enough to limit any meaningful reduction in interest rates in the near term. As a result, businesses are contending with sustained financial pressures from all sides and margins continue to be eroded. Many have already delayed investment or reduced headcount to preserve capital and it does not look like we will see small and medium businesses start to invest for growth again for some time.

“Many UK businesses will be desperate for some respite; however, I fear that without tangible policy support to ease the pressures they currently face, we are likely to see corporate distress and insolvencies continue to rise next year.”

Most significantly Distressed Industries	Number of businesses in significant distress	Most critically distressed industries	Number of businesses in critical distress
Support Services	115,314	Support Services	8,801
Construction	103,551	Real Estate & Property Services	8,018
Real Estate & Property Services	91,088	Construction	7,361
Professional Services	62,930	Professional Services	4,122
Telecommunications & Information Technology	47,744	General Retailers	4,106
General Retailers	47,676	Telecommunications & Information Technology	3,146
Health & Education	45,946	Health & Education	2,997
Media	30,953	Media	2,360
Financial Services	22,815	Bars & Restaurants	2,056
Leisure & Cultural Activities	19,963	Food & Drug Retailers	1,877
Significant distress by region		Critical distress by region
London	221,095	London	19,323
South East	122,548	South East	8,104
Midlands	86,075	Midlands	6,406
North West	74,079	North West	5,675
South West	50,902	Yorkshire	3,589
Yorkshire	48,674	South West	3,347
East of England	45,503	East of England	2,948
Scotland	34,290	Scotland	2,745
Wales	18,522	Wales	1,445
North East	12,677	North East	1,008
Northern Ireland	12,137	Northern Ireland	933
Misc	92	Misc	8