Economic outlook upgraded but energy disruption will weigh on growth

The UK economy has demonstrated continued resilience despite disruption from the conflict in the Middle East and is now forecast to grow at a slightly better-than-expected pace in 2026, according to the new EY UK Economic Outlook. EY predicts that UK GDP will grow by 0.9% in 2026, a slight increase from the 0.8% growth…

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Business confidence hit four-month high during July

Business confidence in the UK hit a four-month high, rising five points to 49% in July, two points higher than the 12-month average of 47%, according to the Lloyds Business Barometer. This was driven by an increase in economic optimism, reflecting the decline in global energy prices, the Bank of England holding interest rates and…

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Business confidence remains low as cost pressures intensify

The IoD Directors’ Economic Confidence Index, which measures business leaders’ optimism about prospects for the UK economy, fell marginally to -63 in July 2026, down from -61 in June. Business leader confidence in their own organisations also fell, to -2 in July from +7. The majority of the underlying indicators also declined; revenue expectations fell…

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Business failures fall but confidence remains subdued

The number of UK businesses entering insolvency-related processes fell in the second quarter of 2026, but a decline in new company registrations suggests business confidence remains subdued, according to R3 analysis. R3’s latest Quarterly Business Health report, based on data from Creditsafe found there were 6,854 insolvency-related activities in Q2 2026, down 6% compared to…

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Shop price inflation and retail sales downturn ease

Shop price inflation slowed to 0.9 per cent higher than the previous year in July, down from 1.2 per cent in June, according to data from the British Retail Consortium (BRC). Inflation on non-food products fell to 0.2 per cent from 0.6 per cent, and overall food price inflation fell from 2.4 per cent from…

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Nurseries struggling to break even despite childcare fees increase

New research by Money.co.uk has found that childcare providers are struggling to break even despite childcare fees increasing. Analysis of 2025 Department for Education data reveals that the average private nursery in England makes just £933.66 profit per child each year — around £78 per month — after operating costs. Far from profiteering, many providers…

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Call for Government to reset AI plans and to build trust among small firms

The Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) says that the AI Minister’s new cabinet role allows the Government to help small firms adopt the technology with confidence, FSB has a new report, days after Prime Minister Andy Burnham gave AI Minister Kanishka Narayan a seat at the Cabinet table. The report found that 59 per cent…

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Nine in ten people want Government to back small business

Reductions to business rates and National Insurance plus support with energy costs top concerns – as only 9% of small businesses looking to hire to support growth this summer As the UK welcomes a new Prime Minister and leadership team, 9 in 10 adults (90%) would like to see the Government do more to support…

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PM cuts business rates for pubs, clubs and music venues – industry reaction

New Prime Minister (PM) Andy Burnham has announced a 20 per cent cut to business rates for pubs, clubs and live music venues from April. The move is expected to save a typical pub around £1,100 next year and benefit nearly 32,000 venues. The plans will be funded by cracking down on businesses like vape…

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Inflation falls to 2.6% – industry reaction

Latest ONS data has shown that the UK consumer price inflation fell from 2.8% to 2.6% in the year to June, its lowest level since March 2025. The figure was below the 2.7% forecast and marked the third consecutive month in which inflation undershot expectations. Lower petrol and diesel prices, easing food inflation and clothing…

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Half of SMEs struggling to pay tax bills

More than half (52%) of SMEs are currently struggling to pay tax bills as the full impact of recent tax increases kicks in, new research1 from Premium Credit shows. The biggest tax bill issue currently is Corporation Tax, which more than a fifth (22%) say they are struggling to pay, while 12% say they struggle…

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Finance leaders becoming more optimistic about AI enhancing business performance

Finance leaders have become progressively more optimistic about AI improving their own businesses’ performance, as 73% now report an improvement in AI optimism over the last 12 months, compared to 59% in Q4 2025 and 39% in Q3 2024. Nearly all CFOs (96%) expect to see a rise in investment in digital technology and assets…

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Retail profit warnings rise in Q2

EY-Parthenon’s latest data has shown that  FTSE retailers issued five profit warnings in Q2 2026, up from three in the first quarter of the year. This makes 2026 only the third year since 2007 in which the sector has recorded more warnings in the second quarter compared to the first. FTSE retailers issued a total…

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