Tariffs raise recession risk

9th April 2025

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has suggested the UK could be heading for a recession, warning that a trade deal may not be enough to prevent a slump in economic growth. 

Paul Johnson, Director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), said “The UK may be heading toward a recession, even if the Government can agree trade deals to mitigate the impact of US tariffs.

“Unless something happens, we are certainly in for a period of much slower growth than we were expecting, quite possibly a recession. The current market instability will leave people “a lot worse off.: