Small business concerns remain with economic impact of the pandemic

20th May 2021

New research from Hitachi Capital Business Finance has revealed that entrepreneurs are almost twice as likely to cite the legacy of the Covid-19 pandemic as a risk to business growth than the long-term economic impact of Brexit (47% Vs 27%).

The new research suggests that even though the nation will meet the ending of social restrictions with excitement and optimism, many small business owners remain alert to the potential economic disruption that may still lie ahead. Whilst the percentage of small enterprises predicting growth has hit a two-year high, the Hitachi Capital survey of 1,306 small business owners found that 78% of enterprises were keeping a close eye on the risks that could hold back growth plans.

Overall, the top concerns for small business owners are dominated by three macro-economic factors – principally, the direct impact of the pandemic on their operations (47%), general market uncertainty (39%) and the economic impact of Brexit on their business (27%).

This represents a marked shift from the year before the pandemic where – aside from general market uncertainty (31%) – the top worries for business owners related to more specific issues within in their operational control, such as: red tape (20%), taxation & pensions (21%), volatile cash flow (17%), rents/rates (15%) and the cost of skilled labour (15%).

Smaller companies in hospitality/leisure (70%), retail (58%), education (58%) and medical services (49%) were most likely to be concerned about the pandemic having a long tail in terms of economic impact. The findings for the retail and hospitality sectors were of particular note because these were also sectors where a significant rise in growth forecasts were recorded for the current quarter. This suggests that whilst these sectors hope to bounce back after a troubled lockdown, confidence is, in fact, fragile – with many business owners acutely aware of how further pandemic developments could destabilise their enterprises.

Regionally, small businesses in the North East (57%) and the East Midlands (52%) were those most concerned about the legacy of the pandemic continuing to adversely impact their business operations.

Small business owners in Wales (33%) and Scotland (32%) were those most concerned about the economic impact of Brexit on their business – places where worries about the commercial impact of the pandemic were significantly lower (42% and 43% respectively).

Beyond concerns over the lingering impact of the pandemic and Brexit, other factors listed by UK small businesses as threats to growth included: red tape (12%), volatile cash flow (11%), high fixed costs and overheads (10%) and the cost of skilled labour (8%).

Joanna Morris, Head of Insight at Hitachi Capital Business Finance said “Whilst we all look forward to a summer of optimism, our survey shows that many business owners are conscious that there would still be long-term implications from both the pandemic and Brexit. After repeated lockdowns in the last year, small business owners are being pragmatic. There is a record quarter-on-quarter upturn in the proportion of small businesses predicting growth, but this is not blind optimism: Business owners have their eyes wide open to the risks that lie ahead and, in today’s market, this has become an essential part of robust business planning.”