Business lending expected to increase at highest rate since 2020

A new EY ITEM Club forecast has predicted bank-to-business lending growth to increase from 2.9% in 2024 to 4.5% in 2025 – the highest rate since 2020 – and 5.6% in 2026 as borrowing rates continue to fall  Bank lending to UK businesses grew by 2.9% in 2024, as falling interest rates boosted market confidence…

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Small business confidence hits lowest recorded point outside of the pandemic

Small business confidence hit its lowest recorded point outside the Covid pandemic in the fourth quarter of last year, according to FSB’s Small Business Index (SBI). The headline confidence reading fell from -24.4 points in Q3 to -64.5 points in Q4.This is a fall of 40.1 points, and the lowest reading on this measure since…

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Businesses facing 47-day payment delays

Latest data from Money.co.uk has found that on businesses are facing 47-day payment delays. The FSB has described late payments as one of the ‘biggest problems’ facing small businesses and with the Government announcing plans to crack down on late payments with stricter laws to help smaller businesses and grow the UK economy The research…

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GDP grew by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2024 – industry reaction

14th February 2025 Commercial Credit Management | #GDP

The UK economy grew by 0.1% in the final months of 2024 according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The data showed growth in the quarter was driven by a range of industries, from pubs and bars to machinery manufacturers, having a strong December. Responding to the figures, ONS Director of Economic Statistics Liz…

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82% of CEOs optimistic on business landscape

13th February 2025 Commercial Credit Management | #economy

Business confidence amongst UK CEOs is growing, despite ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges, according to the latest EY-Parthenon CEO Outlook survey. The survey of 100 UK CEOs, which evaluates optimism levels and provides insights on capital allocation, investment and transformation strategies, found that 82% of UK CEOs felt very or somewhat optimistic about the business…

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Business confidence hits two-year low

Business optimism in the UK reached a two-year low in January, according to analysis by BDO. The firm’s index measuring confidence across British manufacturing fell to 92.20 from 93.41 in December, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline and the lowest level since January 2023, a time marked by double-digit inflation and clear signs of…

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Small business growth predicted to fall for first time since July 2024

The percentage of UK small business owners predicting growth (33%) has dipped to a nine-month low, according to the latest quarterly data from Novuna Business Finance. Whilst 45% see Q1 as a standstill period, there is a four-year high in the percentage of small businesses saying they will contract by the end of March (13%)…

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Interest rates cut to 4.5% – business industry reaction

7th February 2025 Business Lending | #interest rates

The Bank of England’s rate-setting body voted to cut the base rate by 0.25% to 4.5%. The nine-strong Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 7–2 to reduce Bank rate by 0.25%. But two members, Swati Dhingra and Catherine Mann, thought more help was needed and voted for a 0.5% cut. Bank Governor Andrew…

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SMEs cut debt by £4.4bn across 2024

7th February 2025 Business Lending | #business debt

Analysis of the Bank of England’s data in Ebury’s SME Borrowing Tracker shows that SMEs decreased their debt by £4.4 billion across 2024, reinforcing nearly three years of falling debt among SMEs, following the significant ‘debt pile’ accumulated during the pandemic. However, the final three months of 2024 marked the first quarterly uptick in SME…

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Accountant jailed for Covid loan fraud

An accountant who helped himself to £27,000 from the ‘Eat Out to Help Out’ scheme as part of a bigger Covid loans fraud has been jailed for three years and eight months. Zeeshan Ashraf claimed a total of £268,102.07 and tried to claim £52,732.66 that he was not entitled to from support schemes set up…

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Economic growth forecast slashed for 2025

The EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast is predicting that UK GDP growth will be at 1% in 2025, down from the 1.5% growth projected in October’s forecast. This represents only a marginal improvement on the 0.8% GDP growth the UK economy likely achieved in 2024. However, the EY ITEM Club still expects steady quarter-on-quarter growth…

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Business leader confidence stays at historically low levels

The IoD Directors’ Economic Confidence Index, which measures business leader optimism in prospects for the UK economy, edged up to -59 in January 2025 from -61 in December. However, confidence remains at historically depressed levels. Business leader confidence in their own organisations declined to +6 in January, from +8 in December. There was also a…

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Business confidence falls for fifth consecutive month

British businesses increased pessimism in January, marking five consecutive months of declining corporate confidence according to the Lloyds Bank Business Barometer.The Barometer fell by two points to 37%, its lowest level in a year, following a £25 billion tax increase announced in October. Despite the dip, confidence is still above the long-term average of 29%. In previous…

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