A new EY ITEM Club forecast has predicted bank-to-business lending growth to increase from 2.9% in 2024 to 4.5% in 2025 – the highest rate since 2020 – and 5.6% in 2026 as borrowing rates continue to fall Bank lending to UK businesses grew by 2.9% in 2024, as falling interest rates boosted market confidence…
Read moreSmall business confidence hit its lowest recorded point outside the Covid pandemic in the fourth quarter of last year, according to FSB’s Small Business Index (SBI). The headline confidence reading fell from -24.4 points in Q3 to -64.5 points in Q4.This is a fall of 40.1 points, and the lowest reading on this measure since…
Read moreLatest data from Money.co.uk has found that on businesses are facing 47-day payment delays. The FSB has described late payments as one of the ‘biggest problems’ facing small businesses and with the Government announcing plans to crack down on late payments with stricter laws to help smaller businesses and grow the UK economy The research…
Read moreThe UK economy grew by 0.1% in the final months of 2024 according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The data showed growth in the quarter was driven by a range of industries, from pubs and bars to machinery manufacturers, having a strong December. Responding to the figures, ONS Director of Economic Statistics Liz…
Read moreBusiness confidence amongst UK CEOs is growing, despite ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges, according to the latest EY-Parthenon CEO Outlook survey. The survey of 100 UK CEOs, which evaluates optimism levels and provides insights on capital allocation, investment and transformation strategies, found that 82% of UK CEOs felt very or somewhat optimistic about the business…
Read moreBusiness optimism in the UK reached a two-year low in January, according to analysis by BDO. The firm’s index measuring confidence across British manufacturing fell to 92.20 from 93.41 in December, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline and the lowest level since January 2023, a time marked by double-digit inflation and clear signs of…
Read moreThe percentage of UK small business owners predicting growth (33%) has dipped to a nine-month low, according to the latest quarterly data from Novuna Business Finance. Whilst 45% see Q1 as a standstill period, there is a four-year high in the percentage of small businesses saying they will contract by the end of March (13%)…
Read moreThe Bank of England’s rate-setting body voted to cut the base rate by 0.25% to 4.5%. The nine-strong Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 7–2 to reduce Bank rate by 0.25%. But two members, Swati Dhingra and Catherine Mann, thought more help was needed and voted for a 0.5% cut. Bank Governor Andrew…
Read moreAnalysis of the Bank of England’s data in Ebury’s SME Borrowing Tracker shows that SMEs decreased their debt by £4.4 billion across 2024, reinforcing nearly three years of falling debt among SMEs, following the significant ‘debt pile’ accumulated during the pandemic. However, the final three months of 2024 marked the first quarterly uptick in SME…
Read moreAn accountant who helped himself to £27,000 from the ‘Eat Out to Help Out’ scheme as part of a bigger Covid loans fraud has been jailed for three years and eight months. Zeeshan Ashraf claimed a total of £268,102.07 and tried to claim £52,732.66 that he was not entitled to from support schemes set up…
Read moreThe EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast is predicting that UK GDP growth will be at 1% in 2025, down from the 1.5% growth projected in October’s forecast. This represents only a marginal improvement on the 0.8% GDP growth the UK economy likely achieved in 2024. However, the EY ITEM Club still expects steady quarter-on-quarter growth…
Read moreThe IoD Directors’ Economic Confidence Index, which measures business leader optimism in prospects for the UK economy, edged up to -59 in January 2025 from -61 in December. However, confidence remains at historically depressed levels. Business leader confidence in their own organisations declined to +6 in January, from +8 in December. There was also a…
Read moreBritish businesses increased pessimism in January, marking five consecutive months of declining corporate confidence according to the Lloyds Bank Business Barometer.The Barometer fell by two points to 37%, its lowest level in a year, following a £25 billion tax increase announced in October. Despite the dip, confidence is still above the long-term average of 29%. In previous…
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