Rent and mortgage spending growth hits 17-month low

6th September 2024

The latest Barclays Property Insights report found that growth in rent and mortgage spending slowed to the lowest rate in 17 months, following the Bank of England’s base rate reduction on 1st August.  In response, consumers are feeling more confident in their household finances, though some concerns around rent and mortgage affordability remain. Meanwhile, housing supply for renters continues to be an issue, with the influx of students into the market adding to the competition for younger house-hunters.

Spending on rent and mortgages grew by just 1.1 per cent in August, the lowest rate recorded since March 2023.This follows the Bank of England’s decision to drop the base rate by 0.25 per cent earlier in the month. For now, Brits are saving on costs through their bills, as warmer weather coupled with the Ofgem energy price cap resulted in the fourth consecutive month of falling utilities spending, dropping -11.4 per cent year-on-year.

Amidst the easing of some of these financial pressures and reduced inflation, the proportion of consumers confident in their household finances hit 70 per cent for the first time since April this year, up from 65 per cent in July. Confidence in the UK housing market has also risen, increasing from 25 per cent to 29 per cent in the same four-month period. However, with 78 per cent of mortgage holders reporting they have a fixed-rate deal, only a small proportion of consumers will be feeling the benefits of recent interest rate reductions. This is reflected in the marginal decrease in those not confident in their ability to afford rental or mortgage payments, which dropped from 16 per cent to 15 per cent month-on-month.

For renters, competition for properties is an ongoing struggle as, for the fourth month in a row, 20 per cent report getting less value for their money due to high demand. Amongst the 18-34-year-old group this rises to over a quarter (26 per cent). Young renters are also facing additional pressures as students enter the market for the new academic term, with more than one in six (17 per cent) saying the influx of students is causing too much competition for properties. Given the extra squeeze on housing supply, only 14 per cent of 18-34-year-old homeowners say they are considering selling their home, with many opting to retrofit instead, as three in 10 (28 per cent) say they are making improvements to their home to make it more energy efficient.

Spending at garden centres reached record growth for this year, up 8.0 per cent, as the long-awaited improvement in weather resulted in people choosing to spruce up their gardens in August. As more people spent time out of doors, home improvements & DIY was down -5.7 per cent, though many – particularly younger people – are intending to get started on projects once Autumn begins, with 18 per cent of 18-34-year-olds saying they are beginning home improvements ahead of the Christmas period.

Mark Arnold, Head of Mortgages and Savings at Barclays, said “In the year to date we’ve seen encouraging signs that spending on rent and mortgages is decelerating on the whole, but unsurprisingly it isn’t a linear descent and we could see some volatility over the coming months, despite the recent interest rate cut.

“Many people think that interest rates are what really determine the mortgage market – and whilst that’s true to some extent , for me, the biggest driver is confidence. If you’re going to make the biggest purchase of your life, you need to be confident that the economy is stable, inflation is under control, and you know what you’re going to pay. That stability and confidence will determine how people spend, even for renters.”