Credit, Collections & Insolvency News
A forecast by EY ITEM Club expects UK GDP to grow by 0.9% in 2026 a marginal upgrade on the 0.8% predicted in November’s Autumn Forecast. The data predicts the economy will accelerate growth to 1.3% in 2027 and will settle at 1.4% from 2028 onwards. Global uncertainty and tariff disruption are expected to be…
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Rising tax and cost pressures forced more than one in five (21%) SME bosses to lay off staff last year, according to a survey commissioned by Rathbones. A targeted poll of more than 1,000 SME founders, owners and senior executives reveals a challenging landscape for business leaders, with cost pressures – including business rates and national…
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New data from Novuna Business Finance has revealed the first green shoots of a potentially new upward trend in small business growth forecasts. Following a worrying 18-month period since mid-2024, when the percentage of small businesses predicting growth fell for five-consecutive quarters, to a five-year low of 25%, January 2026 sees an upturn, with 27%…
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Latest Red Flag Alert research from Begbies Traynor has revealed a considerable 43.8% year-on-year increase in ‘critical’ financial distress in Q4 2025. Throughout 2025, UK businesses continued to grapple with a prolonged period of economic uncertainty, rising operating costs driven by inflation and higher wages, increased tax burdens, elevated interest rates, and weakened consumer demand. The persistence…
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The IoD Directors’ Economic Confidence Index, which measures business leader optimism in prospects for the UK economy, jumped to -48 in January 2026, from -66 in December 2025. Business leader confidence in their own organisations also jumped, to +14 in January from -4 in December. The underlying indicators, particularly revenue and export expectations, also saw…
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Business confidence weakened this month over concerns about the global economic outlook, according to the latest Lloyds’ business barometer. The survey reported a net balance of 44% in January, down from 47 per cent in December, driven by a 14-point drop in businesses’ net economic optimism. However, businesses’ expectations for their own activity rose by…
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Trade credit insurer Atradius has issued a red flag to the motor industry as new data reveals a sharp rise in claims for unpaid and late invoices. Failed and late payment claims against automotive businesses, including OEMs, original equipment manufacturers, component manufacturers and dealerships, have risen 78% year-on-year (Nov 2025). Claims across the wider transport sector,…
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Pubs and music venues in England will be given a 15% discount on their business rates bills from April and will not see increases for two years. It comes after a backlash against November’s Budget, which left many facing major increases in their business rates bills, and led to more than a thousand pubs banning…
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Confidence in the future of the UK economy remains mixed among commercial finance brokers, according to new research from SME funding provider Asset Advantage. The survey of commercial brokers across the UK found that nearly half (49%) remain neutral on the outlook of the economy in the next 12 months. Meanwhile, more than a quarter…
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More than two in five (42%) profit warnings issued by UK-listed companies in 2025 cited policy change and geopolitical uncertainty as leading factors, according to EY-Parthenon’s latest Profit Warnings report. This marked a significant increase from 12% during 2024, and the highest annual proportion recorded for this cause in more than 25 years of EY’s…
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Research by Capital on Tap has compared average wages across major UK cities to track how the cost of everyday goods and services changes over time. The analysis shows where real earnings are falling furthest behind and which regions are under the greatest financial strain. The data showed that Reading tops the list of where…
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More than one in five SMEs say international trade tariff disputes remain the biggest challenge facing their business, according to new research from FTSE 250 lender Paragon Bank. Nearly a year since Donald Trump set out a range of global tariffs and as geopolitical tensions continue over Greenland, the study of 1,000 small and medium-sized…
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New data analysis by Growth Flag has highlighted that thousands of UK firms projected to deliver strong growth next year are already showing signs of financial strain. The research, which analysed more than 4.3 million UK businesses, found a shrinking pipeline of firms achieving strong growth and a widening base of companies under pressure. Just…
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