Economic recovery from Pandemic remains in transition

3rd November 2021

The UK’s economic recovery from the pandemic remains in a point of transition, with every sign of a positive measure being equally met by a challenge.

During October 2021, the UK economy continued its recovery from the significant effects seen throughout the last 18 months, but positive signs continued to be balanced by ongoing or upcoming issues of concern. In its widest sense, the economy has continued to recover, with GDP during August 2021 only 0.8% lower than it was pre-pandemic, in February 2020.

Alongside this, a more positive picture developed with employment, as unemployment fell to 1.51 million (4.5% of the workforce) from June to August 2021. Of particular encouragement was this measure for young people, with unemployment amongst those aged 18-24 falling to 395,000 (10.8% of the total), 98,000 fewer than the same period last year.

Each positive must be balanced with a new or ongoing challenge though and, with furlough coming to an end in September, a large number of employees will either have to be taken back on by their employers, be made redundant or choose to retire.

In addition to this significant moment, several other factors weigh heavily on household budgets. Firstly, the £20 per week Universal Credit uplift coming to an end. Secondly, the energy price cap rising by £139 (or £153 for pre-paid meters) and thirdly, inflation continuing at over 3% in September and forecast to reach 4% by the end of the year.

Alongside these squeezes on weekly finances, it is unsurprising to see continuing evidence of new forms of debt, such as Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL), surging over the last year, with Citizens Advice saying £39 million has been paid by BNPL users in late fees.

With each hopeful sign countered by a challenge of real concern, along with many relatively unknown factors still to play out, a deeply challenging winter of heavy pressures on UK household budgets seems certain.

For people across the UK to continue striving for increased Financial Wellbeing, it will be essential that people rise to this challenge by being as resourceful as they can in managing their money well, from making their incomes stretch further to making sustainable choices and avoiding unmanageable debt.

Michelle Highman, Chief Executive at The Money Charity