Mortgages in crisis

31st May 2023

Reduced lending amounts, prompted by interest rate rises, indicate a crisis of mortgage unaffordability for people across the UK.

With interest rates continuing to rise and lending figures falling in kind, the signs are of a brewing crisis of mortgages becoming unaffordable, both for existing borrowers and those new to the property market. The Bank of England base rate now sits at 4.5%, having been raised from 4.25% in mid-May. This is the ninth consecutive rise since May 2022 as an attempt to control and lower inflation.

However, these ongoing rises have in turn seen total net lending to individuals and housing associations by UK banks and building societies shrink by £65 million in March 2023, or £2.1 million a day over revised figures for February 2023, with net mortgage lending having also shrunk, by £1.3 billion in the month. Meanwhile net consumer credit lending has increased by £464 milllion. These numbers strongly suggest that borrowing is becoming less attractive and mortgages are becoming unaffordable, while people are still willing (or are having) to turn to credit, potentially to meet the rising cost of affording essentials.

At the end of March 2023, the average mortgage interest rate was 2.75%. Based on this, households with mortgages would pay an average of £4,113 in interest over the year. Whereas for new loans, the average rate was 4.44%, meaning first-time buyers would pay an average of £8,237 in the year. With these points of difference, it is perhaps unsurprising to see fewer people applying for mortgages and fewer being approved for them, with the UK mortgage approval total falling from 74,425 in August 2022 to 35,612 in December. Throughout 2022, there were 370,287 first-time buyers in the UK, a 9.3% decrease from 2021.

For a significant majority of people, home ownership is one of the primary financial goals in life and it is a goal which will, for most people, require both significant saving and resorting to borrowing. However, we also know that it can be one of the most remote goals for far too many people, especially while the cost of living crisis keeps pushing it even further away. Equally many homeowners with existing mortgages have also been impacted by rising interest rates – in some cases, they are paying up to twice as much in repayments as before. Many will struggle to cover that kind of increase, especially with other costs also rising.

Having financial goals, as well as for those goals to feel obtainable and sustainable, plays a big part in overall Financial Wellbeing. It’s also important for people to have a sense of being able to use their money to achieve their dreams in life rather than being controlled by their money. That’s why it is so significant and concerning to see these figures and for what they represent for many households across the UK.

Michelle Highman, Chief Executive at The Money Charity